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January 31, 2007

Tornados run amuck, film at 11

acme tornado

Who can forget the cartoon scene shown above where Wile E. Coyote has a little trouble controlling some tornados he seeds in yet another futile attempt to capture the elusive Road Runner?

About ten years ago I thought of creating a computer game where you could create and steer your own tornado, but then I quickly thought to myself "I'd instantly be laughed and ridiculed out of the TV weather business for making such a socially distasteful product" so the thought passed just as quickly as an F0 twister.

Today I'm wandering COMPUSA in LA and what do I see? A game called Tornado Jockey.

From the game's website description: "Target different objects like: vehicles, baseball stadiums and drug stores. Steer your storm away from forces like 'Ray Gun Trucks' and 'Radar Bombers' that aim to kill your tornado. You're at the helm of mother nature's energy, so pick your path and have a little fun!"

Then they go on to add: * Percentage of proceeds are donated to the American Red Cross

Yeah.... surely that makes it far more... umm...socially correct?

Here's a screenshot of what the game looks like in operation:

t-jock1.jpg

Some of the game features:
- In-game objects: dairy farms, gas stations, amusement parks, & more (what, no mobile homes?)
- Enemies like: 'F-Killer rockets', 'Storm Chasers', & 'Ray Cannons'
- Educational facts for: funnels, tornado types, supercells, etc.
- Dynamic game-play, original settings, outstanding special effects!

There's nothing like seeing "educational facts" while ripping apart an amusment park full of kids.

But the icing on the cake has to be the game summary, where a blonde "weather babe" does a live TV report and tallies up your damage score in dollars.
TV weather bimbo

Please excuse me while I go practice some power hurling into a wastebasket. Blllluurrrrch!

January 30, 2007

Electricity related to peak oil

aspo_oil_and_gas.png

There's an article in The Oil Drum that focuses on electricity production; or rather how or what we will need to do to keep pace with people's demands while balancing that with environmental and economic impact. It is lengthy but well-reasoned and good reading.

From the article: "One of the biggest threats the USA faces today is a serious shortage of energy. Vulnerabilities in our system have been made glaringly obvious several times; since the 1970's the USA has had social and economic upheaval due to the actions of foreign oil producers, and two hurricanes in 2005 showed just how fragile our remaining domestic supplies of oil and natural gas are."

The president recently reiterated a commitment to reducing our national oil consumption, and I hope that gets implemented as its really a good idea. Hybrids and electric vehicles are looking better and better. Chances are my next car will be one of these.

January 29, 2007

Almost a Darwin Award Winner

From the "almost a Darwin Award winner" department and from WISN-TV in Milwaukee...TV News Truck Breaks Through Ice:

Even though the temperatures have fallen, the ice on many bodies of water is not thick enough to support vehicles.

A crew for a local television station drove its news truck onto a channel to Big Muskeo Lake Sunday and broke through the ice. Crews for WDJT-TV in Milwaukee were reportedly shooting a story about thin ice when the truck fell through. The driver reportedly mistook the channel for a road when the accident happened.

The truck was approximately 150 yards off the boat launch, according to a release issued by the City of Muskego Police Department.

The driver of the truck was the sole occupant and was able to get out without injury, but the truck remains partially submerged.

Moderators note: Having worked in TV news myself, I'm not that surprised. Often the only thing on reporters and producers minds is the story deadline. Caution and common sense sometimes take a backseat in the news van.

January 26, 2007

Streamin' - Now anywhere in Chico

videocam.jpg

You may have heard or seen that I donated the equipment and continue to provide the high bandwidth server to carry the City Council Meetings, School Board, Planning Commission and other public meetings via live Internet Webcast as a public service.

Councilman Larry Wahl and I worked together on this project to make it become a reality, and I was pleased to announce its operation in September of 2005. It was a fun and useful project since many people can't get cable channel 11 to see public meetings.

Well tonight as I blog this over a glass of wine, there's some new personal satisfaction in that I've sucessfully completed a major test that will make this medium even more valuable for the citizens of our fair city.

It all started last week when Kris Koenig of the Chico Observatory asked me if I could run a live webcast to cover this weeks Northern California History Museum Cosmic Hike lecture series done in conjunction with the Chico Community Observatory. This weeks topic was about the Sun and Global warming, so naturally I said "absolutely".

Now if you have ever said yes to something before fully understanding what you just committed to you'll realize this is why parents tell their kids "don't volunteer" when they go into the Army.

I figured, "hey no sweat". I've done it before and I can do it again. Well, in the world of Internet connectivity, thats a whole different animal. I should have known better because last week I was knee deep in another computer problem when somebody suggested the Occam's Razor solution, (the simplest answer is the most likely solution) to which I replied: "Occam never owned a computer!".

Enter the CARD Center on Vallombrosa. They have a broadband network, should be easy to connect up my streaming video software and away we go...instant live broadcast right? Wrong. Like many organizations, they have a firewall. A big one, and...it requires login to even do web browsing. No connect and go here.

My previous setup for the City Council Chambers used a fixed public IP address...the simplest most direct way to connect. But its also dangerous, as its like setting up a lemonade stand on Highway 99 and 149 interchange. You are likely to get run over just sitting there unless you know what you are doing. In my case it was designing an "invisible" server to connect the Cable 11 video feed to the Internet. Firewalls are designed to protect the foolish from the "raw" Internet and its vagaries of hackers, viruses, spyware, and trojans... but they also make life miserable when you want to do something other than simple web browsing and email.

streaming_video_setup.jpg

So anyway, to make a long story short after four days of email, support calls, testing, alternate testing, testing again, reporting results, trying new things, etc I still didn't have a working solution for Thursday night's CARD center event. But I was getting close. I'd solved one Microsoft induced problem, that of a network card driver that didn't like certain types of network traffic, but my network engineer and I were still butting our heads up against the CARD firewall problem.

Today, with help from a programmer, we tried a new setup and voila' ...all was right with the world again. We got it working at the CARD Center.

Not only can I now stream video from wired connections like the CARD center, but now I can stream video from almost ANYPLACE that has wired or wireless "WiFi"connectivity.

success_stream!.jpg


The little picture above of color bars may not say much to you, but to me it speaks volumes, because it was captured at the Market Cafe restaurant that has a firewall, PLUS a Wireless Encrytion Protocol. They use a WEP key that they give customers to logon. AND its traveling all the way to Arlington Texas where I have a rented high bandwdith server and back to the laptop on the bar again. it's the worst case scenario. I brought in my laptop and set it up on the bar with my portable NTSC Test signal generator and a USB video capture device. And by golly...it works! I'm blogging this entry from the bar too.

So what does this mean?

Well it means that I can now broadcast ANY live event in Chico or wherever, as long as there is some kind or wired or wireless Internet connection. For example, I could broadcast concerts in the new City Plaza, I could broadcast from Laxon auditorium, I could broadcast from Starbucks, Bidwell Perk, Moxies, local schools, courtrooms, backyard BBQ's, concerts, ...you name it.

But wait...there's more. Not only that, but now I have the ability to simultaneously record the live webcast and make it available for playback later. Did you miss last night's City Council meeting where somebody suggested pushing conservative counselors out of Enloe's Flightcare helicopter because "they are going to lose the next election anyway"...no problem, log on and play it back. Just joking, that never happened though something like it once did at a planning commission meeting.

The Internet world just got a whole lot bigger, look for fun stuff to come.

Foul Weather Frenzy

Foul Weather Frenzy

January 24, 2007

Wine Blog

falling_2.jpg

It's not often that I get to have a glass of wine at a restaurant in Chico and have WiFi Connectivity at the same time. Having both of these at the newly opened Market Cafe where Highway 32 meets 99 I decided I'd do my first "Live" blog entry.

Restaurants come and go in Chico, some don't ever rise above the level of having an "open" sign. Finding new ones with ambiance and class is a treat. Finding one that gives every customer a free appetizing plate after 5 is even better.

This restaurant used to be "The Bean Scene" which was started by a couple of people I used to call "The Evil Blonde Ladies" because they'd come into Bidwell Perk and take notes on that business just before opening up their own gig. They didn't make it, partly because it took them 20 minutes to toast a bagel.

So seeing a new restaurant in Chico is always a good thing, as on Friday and Saturday nights it's often impossible to find a classy place to eat that isn't fully booked. So while I'm never mentioned any Chico business before, I thought this one was worth a mention not only because they are new, but because its run by locals, Bob and Patricia Johansen.

I'm partial to wine blends, as they tend to take the edge off of the aftertaste. Tonight I sampled one of the best blends I've had in a very very long time. Its called Falling Star Merlot-Malbec (shown above), and I gotta tell you it beats my former favorite "Clous du Bois Marlstone" by a long shot, and costs about 66% less. ($19/bottle -vs- $60)

It's worth checking out, if nothing else for the free appetizer and WiFi.

January 22, 2007

Individuality

snowflakes.jpg

You know the old saying that "no two snowflakes are alike"? Well it may be possible for two snowflakes to be alike after all. There's a fascinating article in LiveScience that details how this may be possible.

For anyone who studies probability, this seems reasonable, given that the article mentions that 10^24 snowflakes fall in any given year. The article also contains a photo gallery of fascinating snowflake pictures like the one shown above.

From the article: "A typical snow crystal weighs roughly one millionth of a gram. This means a cubic foot of snow can contain roughly one billion crystals ... It is probably safe to say that the possible number of snow crystal shapes exceeds the estimated number of atoms in the known universe."

Kenneth Libbrecht, a professor of physics at California Institute of Technology runs a website devoted entirely to Snow Crystals at www.snowcrystals.com which is also visually impressive.

Here's an interesting graphic on the formation of Snow Crystals:

howto_make_snowflakes.jpg

Weather Channel Issues Ultimate Professional Insult

weather_channel_heidi_cullen.jpg

UPDATE: The national website www.junkscience.com has referenced this blog entry.

From the waaaayyyy over the top department:

The Weather Channel's climatologist, Dr. Heidi Cullen who hosts the program "The Climate Code", is advocating that broadcast meteorologists be denied certification (or re-certification) if they express skepticism about predictions of manmade global warming. She posted this revelation in the blog she runs on the Weather Channel website and you can read it here: http://climate.weather.com/blog/9_11396.html

She writes: "If a meteorologist has an AMS Seal of Approval, which is used to confer legitimacy to TV meteorologists, then meteorologists have a responsibility to truly educate themselves on the science of global warming." "Meteorologists are among the few people trained in the sciences who are permitted regular access to our living rooms. And in that sense, they owe it to their audience to distinguish between solid, peer-reviewed science and junk political controversy." "If a meteorologist can't speak to the fundamental science of climate change, then maybe the AMS shouldn't give them a Seal of Approval."

Them's scientific fightin' words lady.

So, apparently any free speech, scientific debate, and public dialog that doesn't agree with the peer reviewed popular scientific opinion is grounds for denying an AMS Broadcast certification?

I have that AMS Broadcast certification, and though I was once a strong believer in the CO2-global warming theory, I'm now a skeptic that global warming is man made. I don't deny that the earth has seen increases in temperature, but I see far more supporting evidence that the sun and its various mechanisms which transport heat, light, particles, and magnetism to earth is a far bigger player than humans could ever hope to be. See my essay on the subject here: http://www.globalwarmingindex.org/gwi_essay1.htm

This reminds me of Galileo and his fight with the Roman Catholic Church in 1632. Galileo wanted to publish a book Dialogue Concerning the Two Chief World Systems which totally revised the earth centric view of the universe favored by scientists, scholars, and clergy of the time and built on the work of the earlier astronomer Copernicus. Galilieo was tried and imprisoned for daring to speak out against the "consensus" of the time for what he saw as a scientific truth.

I think we would all do well to follow this maxim: "People who live in greenhouses shouldn't throw stones".

Open scientific debate is essential to the scientific process, to call for castigating and silencing TV weathercasters who see other evidence is not only against American free speech values, it's unprofressional for a scientist. Freedom of speech is the concept of the inherent human right to voice one's opinion publicly without fear of censorship or punishment.

I support Cullen's freedom of speech to make the claim that Global Warming is entirely an affliction caused by humanity, but I don't support her call for decertifying of proponents of alternate theory

Despite receiving over 1000 blog comments by the public, most of them harshly critical of Cullen’s call for suppressing the voices of manmade global warming skeptics Cullen has refused to retract her call for AMS decertification of broadcasters who may also be global warming skeptics but instead blamed the whole mess on “spin.‿ Here is her latest post on the controversy. No mention of the word "sorry" or mea culpa in that post.

The Weather Channel has yet to officially comment on the matter. They are most likely being very careful as they are now in the middle of a scientific and political firestorm.

January 21, 2007

Ubuntu - an amazing alternative to Windows

ubuntu_screen.png

Anyone who knows much about me knows that I've been a strong advocate for alternate energy, and that I've put my money where my mouth is by putting solar power projects on my home as well as at Little Chico Creek School in my former role as CUSD Trustee.

Now I'm going to push an alternate way to do home or business computing.

A couple of months ago I wrote about the upcoming release of Windows Vista, and how I was disappointed that this new release from Microsoft and all of its Digital Rights Management (DRM) nonsense made the operating system turn your PC into a version of George Orwell's Big Brother.

A friend of mine, school Trustee Rick Anderson recently dumped his PC and bought a Mac Mini because he said he was tired of all the viruses, spyware, upgrades and the like. I pointed out that if all he needed to do was do email, web browsing, word processing, some digital picture work and maybe some video editing, then the Mac Mini would be a good choice since it comes with all those things right out of the box.

It's an important point, because what I described is what the majority of non technical people need in a personal computer. So why go through the expense and hassle that has become Windows? That got me to looking at an operating system that I once only thought of to be the domain of the uber Geeks - Linux.

For those who don't know about Linux, or have the view that you have to be one of those people that stares at a computer screen until 3AM and then falls asleep on a stack of empty pizza boxes, that used to be the case. But Linux has grown up. While there are still a few distributions aka distros out there that cater to that some new ones have emerged recently that are as easy to use as Windows. They even come with applications like word processors, spread sheets, etc and the best part is they are free or low priced. Some work right out of the box, requiring only a simple install.

Since Microsoft had me so ticked off because of the expense and corporate control issues in Vista, I recently started experimenting with a Linux distro called Ubuntu. Now don't let the weird name scare you, this is actually the most amazing thing I've seen in awhile. Ubuntu is as African word meaning "humanity to others" and the company that is distributing it bills the software as "Linux for Human Beings". The company seems to be setup like a philantrophy, they want to bring computers to people whom can't afford it. With Vista costing upwards to $500 for ll of its features, they are positioned well to do that.

I recently installed it on a blank PC, and was instantly impressed. Best of all it's free if you know how to download it and burn it to a DVD. If not, they have lost cost media you can buy.

My installation experience was fast and easy. And I had Ubuntu up and running within 30 minutes. It was just as simple as putting in the DVD, answering a few simple questions about configuration, and off it went. It came up, updated itself automatically wiht the web connection and was ready to run.

ubuntu_options.gif

It comes with everything a home or small office might need. Word processor and Open Office Application Suite, Firefox web browser, Email, and a bunch of other applications including a cool paint program called "gimp" that rivals Adobe PhotoShop. Ubuntu comes installed with a project management application called Planner. The tool allows users to create simple Gannt charts, tasks, and allocate resources. There's even a Microsoft PowerPoint clone. And you can read or save Microsoft document formats for all their office applications.

ubuntu_powerpointclone.gif

There are hundreds of other free aplications available for download.

Ubuntu recently announced they are offering a free video/graphics/audio editor to make DVD's and edit video from camcorders and sound/music tracks. You can see a preview of Ubuntu Studio here

If you can run Windows you can just as easily run Ubuntu Linux. It's fast, relaible and virus/spyware free.

I gotta say that if you just want a simple and reliable student, home, or office PC at minimal cost, one that will actually run effectively even on older inexpensive hardware, Ubuntu is it.

Microsoft is going to lose some of their edge to unique companies like this.

January 19, 2007

1500 year solar cycle shows climate impacts

sun_earth_climate.jpg

I've been saying this all along...the sun is the Big Kahuna of climate change on earth. CO2 effects pale in comparison to the effects of the sun. I'll have more on this in part 3 of my series on 2006's Record setting temperature year.

WASHINGTON (AP) — The brightening and dimming of the sun may account for a 1,500-year cycle of cooling and warming on parts of the Earth, a study of ice in the North Atlantic suggests.

Researchers found that a very slight difference in the amount of solar energy reaching the Earth can have a powerful chilling effect on the climate: ice builds up in lands bordering the North Atlantic, the average temperature drops in Europe and North America.

see the full story here from USATODAY

This goes hand in hand with another study by the University of Main Climate Change Center as reported by SPACEREF

And just in case that's not enough light reading for you, here is a study from Harvard that talks about "Chaos" and the sunspot cycle.

Part of the abstract is quite telling: "...by examining 1500 years of sunspot, geomagnetic, and auroral activity cycles. Sub-harmonics were found of the fundamental solar cycle period during the years preceding the Maunder minimum and loss of phase of the subharmonic on emergence from it. These phenomena are indicative of chaos. They indicate that the solar dynamo is chaotic and is operating in a region close to the transition between period doubling and chaos."

Translation: The sun can easily tip from one state to another, with resultant changes in solar output.

January 18, 2007

We need a Blue Line!

This image was originally created by Gregg Payne for the Commission Impossible Blog, Blue Line added by this author

City Councilor Ann Schwab proposed a "Gold Line" to protect the foothills from development as a complement to the Green Line which protects rich agricultural farmland to the west of Chico.

Being a meteorologist, I naturally thought of what I might propose to protect our environmentally sensitive atmosphere from errant development, and thus I've decided we need a "Blue Line" to protect our naturally blue skies. The Blue line will protect our valuable natural atmospheric viewshed, making sure that development won't spoil the view for future generations.


Here is what I propose as the Blue Line:

A moratorium on building anything in Chico's sphere of influence that is taller than our twin water towers downtown. Thats about 125 feet. This will of course allow historical structures like the Senator Theatre Tower, Sierra Nevada's Brew Towers, and the Bell tower at CSUC to remain among others to be exempt.

UPDATE: A new RED LINE has been proposed by fellow blogger Lon Glazner.

It may however affect the Chico Airport and Enloe's Flight Care since the planes and helicopters will have to fly above the blue line to meet FAA flight safety rules. I'm sure our City Council and Airport Commission can work that out somehow.

The Blue Line would of course solve a multitude of problems, such as those proposed cellphone towers to service upper Bidwell Park. It would also prevent our downtown from turning into a metropolis by limiting the height of new buildings and most importantly any tall parking garages.

The Blue Line would solve development problems in the foothills, making sure that no new houses are built above the 125 foot AGL elevation level. It would also solve the problems of homes encroaching on the viewshed of the canyon rim in upper Bidwell Park.

The Blue line would also prevent heavy manufacturing industry from coming to Chico, as Federal clean air rules require that smokestacks be of a certain height.

It would also solve that wacky disc golf problem, because it is well above the 125 foot level. Since Disc Golf is not a permanent structure, the Blue Line will finally give opponents the power they need to dispose of it.

Of course the Chico Observatory would benefit, since it wouldn't ever have to worry about its viewshed of the sky being ruined.

Yes wouldn't it be great if we had a Green, Gold, and Blue (and now Red) line protecting us from the perils of modern development? I feel safer already.

January 17, 2007

Ultimate Geek Home Theatre

star trek home theatre

When I first saw this I thought for sure it was fellow blogger Lon Glazners basement, since he finds ways to work Star Trek into many things he writes about.

But this basement belongs to Gary Reign, a guy with apparently way too much time on his hands, who built a home theater in his basement. That by itself is not unusual. However, the room is designed, floor to ceiling, as the bridge of a Star Trek style starship. See his photo page for details.

January 16, 2007

Top Ten WORST Domain Names

domain-names.jpg

The titles says it all. These are the least thought out, dumbest, just plain old ridiculous domain names registered to very serious websites and businesses... enjoy!

1. A site called ‘Who Represents‘ where you can find the name of the agent that represents a celebrity. Their domain name... wait for it... is
www.whorepresents.com

2. Experts Exchange, a knowledge base where programmers can exchange advice and views at
www.expertsexchange.com

3. Looking for a pen? Look no further than Pen Island at
www.penisland.net

4. Need a therapist? Try Therapist Finder at
www.therapistfinder.com

5. Then of course, there’s the Italian Power Generator company... www.powergenitalia.com

6. And now, we have the Mole Station Native Nursery, based in New South Wales:
www.molestationnursery.com

7. If you’re looking for computer software, there’s always
www.ipanywhere.com

8. Welcome to the First Cumming Methodist Church . Their website is
www.cummingfirst.com

9. Then, of course, there’s these brainless art designers, and their wacky website:
www.speedofart.com

10. Want to holiday in Lake Tahoe ? Try their brochure website at
www.gotahoe.com

January 14, 2007

Red Dot

I found this to be the perfect way to kill time. Click at your own risk, betcha can't click just once.


January 13, 2007

New Record Low Temperature for Chico

19record_low.jpg

This still image above from my Bidwell Ranch weather station at 10:30 this morning.

The cold air mass that originated in Siberian Polar regions made its way into Northern California yesterday, and as winds died last night, the temperature plummeted in the still unmixed air. The new record low for this date is 19 degrees, besting the old record of 22 degrees set in 1963.

More record cold is expected tonight. We could see 16 degrees in the outlying areas and 20 in the City.

the most current forecast from my automated forecast system is available here

Note that the record high for this date was 76 in 1920.

The hottest temperatures on recrod wordlwide are available at the NOAA NCDC Climate Center

What I find most interesting is the fact that none of the hottest temperatures worldwide have occurred during the 1998-2006 period of hot weather that many claim is the beginning of irreversible global warming. In fact they mostly occurred in the early and mid 20th century.

And its not just Chico that set new records lows overnight.

SXUS76 KSTO 131813
RERSTO

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO, CA
1000 AM PST SAT JAN 13 2007

...RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE SET AT MARYSVILLE...RECORD LOWS TIED AT
SACRAMENTO EXECUTIVE AIRPORT AND AT SACRAMENTO CITY LOCATION...

THIS MORNINGS COLD WEATHER MADE THE RECORD BOOKS AT MARYSVILLE AND IN
SACRAMENTO. A RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE OF 24 DEGREES WAS SET AT MARYSVILLE
AIRPORT...BREAKING THE OLD RECORD OF 25 SET IN 1963. THIS MORNINGS LOW AT
SACRAMENTO EXECUTIVE AIRPORT FELL TO 22 DEGREES...TYING THE OLD RECORD
LAST SET IN 1949. THE LOW AT THE SACRAMENTO CITY LOCATION WAS 27...AND
THAT TIED THE OLD RECORD LOW LAST SET IN 1963.

MORE LOW TEMPERATURE RECORDS MAY BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY MORNING...AS A VERY
COLD AND DRY AIRMASS REMAINS OVER THE SACRAMENTO AND NORTHERN
SAN JOAQUIN VALLEYS.


January 12, 2007

Comet McNaught as seen near Chico

Comet McNaught by Stacey Watts

My lovely wife Stacey, our two children, and myself braved the cold and gusty winds to get this photo of Comet McNaught over the coastal mountain range tonight. Stacey took this photo at about 1500' elevation along Highway 32 on a turnout near Forest Ranch. This was about 15 minutes after sunset, about 5:18PM. The sky was an orange glow over the coastal mountains due to dust in the atmosphere. This was with a telephoto lens looking across the Sacramento Valley direct over Chico and zoomed on the coastal range.

The comet was easily visible to the naked eye. It was a once in a lifetime spectacular sight as this comet won't be seen again in our lifetime. It may be visible again Saturday evening, but will be even closer to the sun, making photography difficult because it will be so low on the horizon.

View a larger image

Comet McNaught visible just after sunset

Comet McNaught

There's a photo op tonight just after sunset. Sunset is at 5:03 PM PST. Comet McNaught is the brightest comet in 30 years and is visible to the west, just after sunset. Astronomers at Harvard estimate it has a magnitude of -3

NASA astronomer Tony Phillips says Comet McNaught is the brightest comet visible from Earth in 30 years. It is six times brighter than Hale-Bopp in 1997, and 100 times brighter than Halley's Comet when it appeared in 1986, Phillips told The Associated Press on Thursday.

"It will remain a spectacular comet for weeks, perhaps months, in the Southern Hemisphere," Phillips said. "It could emerge as the brightest comet in recorded history."


People in San Francisco saw it last night at sunset. We should be able to see it to the West just as well. We could not see it last night due to some clouds over the coastal range, but tonight I'm expecting clear skies and there's a chance we'll be able to see it. Its only a few degrees above the horizon between West and West Southwest and will only be visible for a few minutes after sunset.

Here is a link on how to find it: http://www.spaceweather.com/images2007/08jan07/skymap_north.gif

The best vantage points would be in Upper Park, along Highway 32 on the way to Forest Ranch, or from lookout point on the Skyway. That way you'll not have the coastal range mountains hiding it from the angled view from the valley floor.

PHOTOGRAPHER SAFTEY NOTE: whatever you do, don't look through your camera viewfinder until the sun is safely below the horizon. I've seen even seasoned photographers make that mistake out of habit and end up with a retina burn.

In a couple of days, comet McNaught will be too close to the sun to see, but in a week or so, once it comes around the sun, it may become visible again and may even be brighter due to heating by the sun.

January 11, 2007

2006 Hottest Year on Record - So what? Part 2

Blizzard.jpg

Previously in Part 1 I've talked about the fact that 2006 was the hottest year on record according to the National Weather service. But what does that mean? Does a record year indicate a long term climatic trend?

Which leads me to my next point.

3) Humans tend to extrapolate their experience to their environment. Its only natural to think that when your experience tells you things are different from what you remember "the way it used to be" to go searching for answers. Search hard enough for the answers you seek, and they are often found to fit your criteria. It happens in science too. In the 1970's, the USA saw several harsh winters and the "big chill" was the focus of science. A new ice age was envisioned in our future. Even Time Magazine got in on the act, not just once or twice but three times with articles expounding on the coming ice age.

From the 1974 Time article: "Telltale signs are everywhere —from the unexpected persistence and thickness of pack ice in the waters around Iceland to the southward migration of a warmth-loving creature like the armadillo from the Midwest.Since the 1940s the mean global temperature has dropped about 2.7° F. "

The point is this: people talk about weather more than anything else. And, if the weather starts seeming "odd" well then there's lots of reasons to go look for a cause. But climate is a whole different story. Climate is based on trends lasting tens, hundreds, and thousands of years....so one year or even ten of hot or cold weather does not a climate change make.

Now, the pendulum of climate opinion may be about to swing in another direction, according to this National Geographic article, the warming trend we've seen could trigger another ice age.

So which way is it? Colder, Hotter? It depends on whom you ask. The big problem is that many meteorologists and climate scientists don't look at the REALLY big picture that includes our SpaceWeather environment. And some still labor under the notion that the sun is not variable, or that the small chnages in solor luminosity can't account for the changes we see in earths climate.

But the earth is not just getting energy from the sun in the form of visible light. There's a whole range of electromagnetic linkage between the earth and sun, and the solar wind.

solarwind.jpg

Yet climate models don't figure these energy factors into the earths energy balance. How can they? They don't have a good handle on how the suns magnetic field and and solar wind changes might possiblly affect earth. And, I'll be the first to admit that they don't teach you anything in meteorology school other than about how visible solar irradiance is responsible for earth's energy budget. There's a built in bias on the part of meteorologists and climatologists to only look at the atmosphere, and how light from the sun affects it. Hence CO2 becomes the focus since it has the abilty to alter how earth's atmosphere reacts to sunlight. CO2 is the boogeyman of climate change because the vast majority of meteorologists and climatologists don't look beyond the atmosphere for answers.

But ask a solar scientist about global warming, and you'll likely get an entirely different answer.

In Part 3, I'll show you some hardly ever seen before solar studies that come about as close to a "smoking gun" for climate change you'll ever see and suggest a mechanism for how the missing linkage between the sun and earth is likely responsible for the 'apparent' climate shifts we see.

January 10, 2007

2006 Hottest Year on Record - So what? Part 1

Part 1 of 3 parts on this subject that I'll post over the next few days.

usa-temps-1895-2006

The National Atmosphereic and Oceanic Atmospheric Administration released their report on the weather records of 2006 today. In that report they state "The 2006 average annual temperature for the contiguous U.S. was the warmest on record and nearly identical to the record set in 1998, according to scientists at the NOAA National Climatic Data Center in Asheville, N.C. Seven months in 2006 were much warmer than average, including December, which ended as the fourth warmest December since records began in 1895."

I don't doubt that a bit, nor do I dispute it. And, I actually expected it. But (and here it comes) I don't think it has anything to do with man made greenhouse gases. Ok, now before you send a barrage of hate mail and letters to the editor saying I'm crazy consider a couple of things I'd like to point out.

1) We have only been keeping official temperature and climate records back to about 1890, although there are spotty records dating back to Revolutionary war times it wasn't until the US weather Bureau was formed by and act of Congress that accurate records began to be kept starting in 1895.

So we have about 110 years of records. 2006 was one year out of millions prior where we don't know precisely what the average yearly temperature was. Should a record setting year or string of them be cause for alarm? Personally I don't think so. We had similar temperatures during the dust bowl era of the 30's also. We survived those too. If you only have 110 years of records, its actually quite easy to set new ones all the time. In my 25 years of TV and Radio weather reporting, I've reported hundreds of new temperature records, high and low. It's no big deal. I'd also add that 2006 had some record cold temperatures too.

2) NOAA cites an interesting graph of temperature, which you can see at the top of this entry. It shows yearly average temperatures creeping up over the last 100 years. No surprise there.

If you compare that temperature trend NOAA published with that of CO2 concentrations in our atmosphere, you can see a correlation. This has been the centerpiece for everyone whom thinks global warming is caused by CO2 from human activity.

The NOAA Graph:
usa-temps-1895-2006

The CO2 versus Temperature Graph:
CO2-vs-Temperature

These line up pretty nicely, and an easy conclusion to draw would be that CO2 is causing global warming.

NEXT POST: Evidence as to why it's just not that accurate to draw that conclusion

January 09, 2007

The plastic bucket of doom

kiss_yab_bucket

I was is COSTCO Saturday and something odd caught my eye. Something I never saw before and was totally unexpected. There on an endcap, was a pallette of 5 gallon buckets labeled "EMERGENCY FOOD SUPPY" $99.99

Does COSTCO know something we don't?

Are they worried the recent Democratic takeover will hasten Armageddon? I was at the store the week before and they weren't there. Now the weekend before Democrats take control of the House and Senate, this shows up. I immediately thought of fellow blogger Lon Glazner and his episode of sheltering in place due to a gas leak announced by the City of Chico. The sales lady there seemed annoyed when I asked if there were any "Celebration Ales" in the kit.

Some investigation reveals that this is packaged by a company called "Nutristorage" and here is their description:

275 Servings of our pre-mixed and seasoned foods in convenient 5 serving packages stored in a single 5 gallon bucket for complete portablility.

Each bucket contains: (5) Ala King (6) Potato/Bakon Soup (5) Sweet Corn Chowder (5) Western Stew (5) Rice/Lentil Soup (5) Barley Vegitable Soup (5) Cacciatore (5) Country Noodle Soup (5) Blueberry Pancakes (9) Whey Milk

kiss_yab_chicken

Oh yum. WTH is Potato/Bakon Soup?

Now for the really fun part. After you've consumed all of the delectibles packaged in the bucket, you can still get some use out of the bucket. You can use it as a trash can, a water pail, a vomit catch (in case of radiation poisoning) or my personal favorite, which you can buy an adapter kit for on some crazy outfit called Internet Grocer who says its been tested by The King of Tonga, HRM Taufa'ahau Tupou IV. I'm not kidding. See the link

make a KYAB potty


Maybe newly elected Mayor Andy Holcombe will buy some of these kits and accessories for the homeless camp he is proposing.

Whatever your political bent, lets all hope we aren't reduced to using "The plastic bucket of doom". Maybe our new City Council can invite the King of Tonga to test it out in City Plaza.


January 08, 2007

Researchers apply for patent on a simple 'Cancer Cure'

cancer cell

Let's all hope this isn't just another excercise in "Cold Fusion breaktrough". It may mean that you'll be able to take an injection or pill(s) to cure cancer in the future instead of radiation or the horrid chemotherapy. If it works, great, on the downside, with a patent hanging over it, it may not be within reach of the people who can't afford it.

A group of Johns Hopkins researchers claim that they are patenting a possible cure for cancer involving nothing more than combination of sugar and short-chain fatty acids

The Johns Hopkins researchers cautioned that their double-punch molecule, described in the December issue of the journal Chemistry & Biology, has not yet been tested on animals or humans.

Nevertheless, they believe it represents a promising new strategy for fighting the deadly disease, and have already filed an application for a U.S. patent covering this class of compounds.

"For a long time, cancer researchers did not pay much attention to the use of sugars in fighting cancer," Department of Biomedical Engineering postdoctoral fellow said. "But we found that when the right sugar is matched with the right chemical partner, it can deliver a powerful double-whammy against cancer cells."

Sampathkumar and his colleagues built upon 20-year-old findings that a short-chain fatty acid called butyrate can slow the spread of cancer cells. In the 1980s, researchers discovered that butyrate, which is formed naturally at high levels in the digestive system by symbiotic bacteria that feed on fibre, can restore healthy cell functioning.

Efforts to use butyrate as a general drug for tumours elsewhere in the body have been hindered by the high doses of the compound needed to effectively eradicate cancer leading scientists to try and make butyrate more potent by modifying it or joining it to other compounds.

The results have been disappointing because the molecular partner added to butyrate to improve delivery to the cancer cells often produced unsafe side effects.

In some of the less successful experiments, designed to avoid toxic side effects, researchers used innocuous sugar molecules such as glucose to carry butyrate into the cells.

"We didn't think they chose the right partner molecule," said Kevin J. Yarema, an assistant professor of biomedical engineering who supervised the project. "Our insight was to select the sugar partner to serve not just as a passive carrier but as additional ammunition in the fight against cancer."

The researchers focused on a sugar called N-acetyl-D-mannosamine, or ManNAc, for short, and created a hybrid molecule by linking ManNAc with butyrate.

The hybrid easily penetrates a cell's surface, then is split apart by enzymes inside the cell.

Once inside the cell, ManNAc is processed into another sugar known as sialic acid that plays key roles in cancer biology, while butyrate orchestrates the expression of genes responsible for halting the uncontrolled growth of cancer cells.

Although the study of the exact molecular mechanism is in its early stages, the researchers believe the separate chemical components work together to bolster the cancer-fighting power of butyrate.

The double attack triggers cellular suicide, also called apoptosis, in the cancer cells.

January 07, 2007

Who Killed the Electric Car? Nobody!

chevy_volt.jpg

Last week I mentioned that Ford was introducing a new alternate fuel sports car that runs on E85 ethanol. This week, GM announced the new Chevy "Volt" Sunday at the North American International Auto Show in Detroit. While some conspiracy theorists rally around an alternate film claiming GM was trying to kill electric vehicles because they were in cahoots with "Big Oil" called "Who killed the Electric Car" (which was shown at Chico's Pageant Theatre right after Al Gore's movie) GM has been quietly working on this new electric rollout. See details here.

That movie cited the EV1 concept vehicle built and test marketed in the 90's and its demise as a conspiracy. But according to GM's Bob Lutz “The EV1 ‘died’ because it had limited range, limited room for passengers or luggage, couldn’t climb a hill or run the air conditioning without depleting the battery and no device to get you home when your battery charge ran low."


I guess some folks just don't understand product marketing for mass consumption. You can't sell a product that doesn't work that well, except to a dedicated few. Demand and technology have to merge and be in sync.

The new "Volt" has some real promise, and GM shows that its serious about producing it by announcing it at the biggest auto show in the world. Yep, sounds like Big Oil killed the Electric Car NOT!

I'll buy one of these, it looks cool and will sound like a "hummer" going down the road. With gas soon to be $3 a gallon, it makes a lot of sense, and the side benefits of less pollution hold promise too. Bear in mind though, this won't be a "zero carbon footprint" car, but it's a step in that direction.

January 05, 2007

Wal-Mart now 25% less "evil"

Wal-Mart parody image

Ok, this is a 'tongue in cheek entry', but it does have value for those who might be reading.

While we all see from reading the nutty 'Tell It to the ER' and Letters to the Editor that Wal-Mart is "evil", according to a New York Times article the world's largest retailer has committed to get Compact Fluorescent Light bulbs into 100 million homes this year. CFLs are found in only 6% of households today. Wal-Mart seems determined to use its marketing prowess to do what hasn't successfully been done in the CFL's 25-year history: to convince consumers to pay more upfront for large savings over the product's lifetime.

cfl.jpg

I for one have converted almost all the bulbs in my home to CFL's, thanks to their availablity at COSTCO at a bargain price thanks to a PG&E rebate program. For example, my bathroom light bar had nine 60 watt bulbs, for a whopping 450 watts every time I turned it on!

By replacing my globe bulbs with the COSTCO brand, I got my bathroom light bars (I have three for a total of 3 x450 watts = 1620 watts) power consumption down to 15 watts per bulb from 60 watts for a total of 135 watts per bathroom or 405 watts for all three bathrooms, down from 1620 watts.

These energy-saving bulbs use 75% less electricity than incandescents and produce far less "greenhouse gas" to manufacture and use. The ones sold at COSTCO are from FEIT Electric and you can see them here:

http://www.feit.com/globe2.html

So, no matter what you think about Wal-Mart, the impact of getting 100 million of these bulbs out into the USA will result in about 4.5 Gigawatts (or 4500 Megawatts) of power savings based on them replacing 100 million 60 watt bulbs with CFLs that draw 15 watts.

Here's the math:

100 million 60 watt bulbs use 100x60 =6,000,000,000 watts of electricity (6 billion or 6 Gigawatts)
a 75% reduction in that power usage is: 6,000,000,000 x .75 = 4,500,000,000 watts (4.5 Gigawatts) of savings

If Wal-Mart sells them in 4 packs, and people install all 4 bulbs then you could figure on 4.5 Gigawatts x 4 = 18 Gigwatts of power savings, and by extension less pollution in our atmosphere.

That ain't chump change.

If all this wattage confuses you, then please see this blog entry I made some time ago.

January 04, 2007

Pickup trucks - a major cause of roadside trash?

pickup truck bed trash

Ok this is probably going to make some truck owners mad, but its the truth as I see it.

The other day I was driving on 99 south and watched several white plastic grocery bags whoosh out of the bed of the pickup truck in front of me. I watched them float to the side of the road, and my eye immediately saw more debris. In a half mile stretch I saw the following trash items along the roadside:

plastic garbage bags
plastic grocery bags
plastic lawn chair
plastic bucket
plastic 2 liter soda bottles
sofa cushion
newspapers (couldn't tell if it was the ER or the News and Review)
soda cans
small plastic soda bottles

When I briefly lived in Paradise ten years ago I saw similar stuff flying out of the backs of pickup trucks going down the Skyway constantly and I was reminded of that again when I saw the bags float out of the back of the truck on 99. I was also reminded of the many times I've walked by a pickup truck in a parking lot an seen a collection of trash in the bed because the owner is too slovenly or lazy to clean it out..

It's not just trash haulers en route to the dump that don't secure loads, some owners just get lazy and toss their daily soda cans, newspapers and junk mail in the back of the truck intending to "clean it up later". But having seen firsthand how many times I've seen drivers whom are oblivious to the fact that their pickup truck is floating out wind driven garbage while they drive down the road I'm pretty sure this is a significant contributor to roadside trash if not the biggest.

You could blame the problem on intentional littering, but how many times do you see people tossing 2 liter plastic bottles, plastic buckets, plastic lawn chairs, cushions, or newspapers out their car windows?

Please folks, if you own a pickup truck, its not a license to litter. Secure or empty that trash before you drive.

January 01, 2007

Setec Astronomy

Setec Astronomy

The title is an anagram that seemed appropriate for this entry. Dan NT's Bullfight blog always has a Scrabble word, so here's mine.

At midnight on Dec. 31, hundreds of millions of pages of secret documents were instantly declassified, including many FBI cold war files on investigations of people suspected of being Communist sympathizers. After years of extensions sought by federal agencies behaving like college students facing a term paper, the end of 2006 means the government's first automatic declassification of records.

This includes 270 million pages at the Federal Bureau of Investigation, which has lagged most agencies in reviews.

Secret documents 25 years old or older will lose their classified status without so much as the stroke of a pen, unless agencies have sought exemptions on the ground that the material remains secret.

Historians say the deadline, created in the Clinton administration but enforced, to the surprise of some scholars, by the secrecy-prone Bush administration, has had huge effects on public access, despite the large numbers of intelligence documents that have been exempted.

And every year from now on, millions of additional documents will be automatically declassified as they reach the 25-year limit, reversing the traditional practice of releasing just what scholars request.

J. William Leonard, who oversees declassification as head of the Information Security Oversight Office at the National Archives, said the threat that secret files might be made public without a security review had sent a useful chill through the bureaucracy.

"Unfortunately, you sometimes need a two-by-four to get agencies to pay attention," Leonard said. "Automatic declassification was essentially that two-by-four."

What surprises await in the documents is impossible to predict.


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