Posted by Tina
The bad news:
The U.S. unemployment rate rose to 8.3% in July and a broader measure ticked up to 15%, even as the economy added 163,000 jobs. Why the increase?
The key reason is because the two numbers come from separate reports. The number of jobs added — the 163,000 figure — comes from a survey of business, while the unemployment rate comes from a survey of U.S. households. The two reports often move in tandem, but can move in opposite directions, especially in months such as July where there are big seasonal issues at play. This month, the household survey was telling a darker tale than the poll of establishments.
The unemployment rate is calculated based on people who are without jobs, who are available to work and who have actively sought work in the prior four weeks, and that number was up by 45,000 in July. The “actively looking for work” definition is fairly broad, including people who contacted an employer, employment agency, job center or friends; sent out resumes or filled out applications; or answered or placed ads, among other things. The rate is calculated by dividing that number by the total number of people in the labor force.
This month 150,000 people left the labor force, lowering what is known as the participation rate. That can lead to a drop in the unemployment rate if people previously unemployed leave the labor force. The drop in the labor force even as the number of unemployed grows can be worrying, and indeed there was an increase in discouraged workers in July.
A further worrying sign came in the count of persons counted as employed, which fell by 195,000 last month.
I love how Michael Goodwin, New York Post, characterizes the tenor of the Democrat Convention:
http://www.nypost.com/p/news/national/dems_dear_leader_plotting_our_grim_pVDCn1fPDfZStmi0fSrjNP
It was obvious to a lot of us in 2008.
The employment situation isn’t good. However the US was loosing 760,000 when Obama became president. So any positive number is, well positive.
http://www.politifact.com/new-hampshire/statements/2012/jun/01/joe-biden/joe-biden-says-35-million-jobs-lost-during-bush-ad/
We could be doing much better, except the Republicans have blocked the jobs bill.
“Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, a Democrat, said that over the last decade, U.S. companies have moved almost 2.5 million jobs abroad, “often to countries where they can hire workers for half the price.” He said another 21 million U.S. workers could see their jobs outsourced.
A coalition of U.S. business groups, including the Business Roundtable, National Association of Manufacturers and U.S. Chamber of Commerce, called on Thursday for the bill’s defeat, saying it would have the “unintended consequence” of making it harder for companies to compete in world markets.”
So another words, Who cares about the American workers, what they care about is what is good for the big corporations.
http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/07/19/us-usa-congress-jobs-idUSBRE86I1LJ20120719
Jim this is true, things were much worse. But, we can’t always claim every little sign of recovery is due to presidential policies. Believe it or not, sometimes businesses heal up on their own without any help from government. The economy is a force unto itself, government can mess it up, or on more rare occasions, government can help a bit, but on the grand scale of things the economy is it’s own master. That’s the way its always been, but it won’t stop politicians from trying to take credit or assign blame.
His speeches here are better.
Case Closed: If Moderate Voters See This Video, Its Over for Obama
This is a stunning thirteen minute video that shows Obama in his own words, with commentary from mostly mainstream media sources. If this video goes viral and reaches moderate and independent voters, it would be a big blow to the Obama re-election bid.
Like I said in the title, if an undecided voter sees this, its over for Obama.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o8R5GvwUFU8&feature=player_embedded
Smart businesses will find a way to make it through a tough economy, some will even find a way to prosper.
Jobs are created by consumer (or government) demand for a good or service. When the nation is prosperous, then there is a greater demand for a lot of things. Right now much less so.
Another part of the current unemployment problem is the reduction in government workers. When cities, states and the federal government cut spending, that usually means that they cut jobs.
Article in a Prague newspaper
Some people have the vocabulary to sum up things in a way that you can quickly understand them. This quote came from the Czech Republic . Someone over there has it figured out. It was translated into English from an article in the Prague newspaper Prager Zeitungon.
“The danger to America is not Barack Obama, but a citizenry capable of entrusting a man like him with the Presidency. It will be far easier to limit and undo the follies of an Obama presidency than to restore the necessary common sense and good judgment to a depraved electorate willing to have such a man for their president. The problem is much deeper and far more serious than Mr. Obama, who is a mere symptom of what ails America . Blaming the prince of the fools should not blind anyone to the vast confederacy of fools that made him their prince. The Republic can survive a Barack Obama, who is, after all, ‘merely a fool’. It is less likely to survive a multitude of fools, such as those who made him their President.”
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2559666/posts
Steelworker Featured at DNC Didnt Work for Bain Capital:
“ABC News breaks a story that one of the three featured speakers supposedly deprived of a job by Bain Capital is just a union negotiator who never worked for a Bain-financed company. The Democrat Party deliberately misrepresented steel union negotiator David Foster as someone who worked under the Romney-controlled Bain Capital.”
Full story and video here:
http://www.ijreview.com/2012/09/15151-steelworker-featured-at-dnc-didnt-work-for-bain-capital/
what a bunch liars…too bad they seem feel it’s okay to do this stuff in order to win..by ANY means.
Regarding jobs and outsourcing:
http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2010/04/not-a-jobless-recovery-but-a-i-jobloss-i-recovery/38994/
According to economists the Bush the recession ended in June 2009:
http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2012/09/07/do-math-mr-obama-your-excuses-about-jobs-have-run-out/#ixzz25wIBUI50
And outsourcing:
Not all jobs that American companies create overseas are jobs that have been taken away from Americans. Wall Mart, McDonalds, and Burger King, for instance, open stores all over the world and hire local people to run them. There’s a Forbes article that puts this subject, that has been highly politicized, into perspective:
http://www.forbes.com/sites/merrillmatthews/2012/07/20/companies-outsource-because-thats-where-the-sales-are/
http://www.forbes.com/sites/danikenson/2012/07/11/outsourcing-for-dummies-including-the-willfully-ignorant/
Here’s some information about American manufacturing:
http://www.nam.org/Statistics-And-Data/Facts-About-Manufacturing/Landing.aspx
Tina: “Experts believe the economy moved from negative to positive growth in June 2009.”
Wouldnt this be the results of the decisions made under the Bush administration, being it was less then 6 months after his term ended? And wouldnt the spiraling downfall for the last 3 years and 3 months, since June 2009, be the result of the Obama administration?
What changed after June 2009? Could it be the shutting down of the oil rigs in the gulf and all the lost jobs? (Is Obama still charged with contempt of court for refusing to follow the court order and open those gulf rigs?) How about all of those coal mines shut down in the northern and southern states. Then there was the pipeline that didnt happen. And remember all of those car dealerships that were told to close during the GM bailout, even though many of them were earning profits?
Im sure there are a lot more excellent examples to list, but its late and Im tired. You get the idea.
It just doesnt add up for me. Obama and his minions want to blame Bush for the problems we have today instead of being responsible for the decisions they made since June 2009 when they were taking credit for the recession ending.
Peggy: “And wouldnt the spiraling downfall for the last 3 years and 3 months, since June 2009, be the result of the Obama administration?
You can bet that if the presidents were reversed Democrats and their media laop dogs would be saying so…LOL!
If Obama had done something to support business, instead of spending money and punishing business we would have see a strong recovery. Instead he opted to give piles of cash to special interest groups and individual donors (Solyndra), handcuff various energy sectors oil & coal, and push healthcare down our throats. Government spending temporarily saved some government jobs but it did nothing for the overall economy…passing another expensive entitlement with all of the piled on regulations. The EPA has turned into nurse Ratchet under this guy.
Not one of Obama’s advisers is a businessman. He initiated the jobs council but didn’t meet with them for six months and here’s the ultimate kicker…
http://www.newsmax.com/Newsfront/jobs-panel-outsourced-jobs/2012/09/06/id/451023
The economy is global now. Outsourcing will not end no matter who is president.
Other countries also build products to be sold in America. Japanese cars are made here for instance.
http://www.investorplace.com/2011/06/foreign-firms-may-drive-u-s-auto-job-growth/
The take away point about this is that the issue has been politicized by Democrats and outsourcing means nothing IF our own economy is strong and people can find good paying jobs. Obama is not about America having a strong economy…he is about redistributing wealth…taking from those that have to give to those he thinks worthy (Solyndra, unions) and getting as many of us dependent on government as possible for power.
All this country needs is a business friendly administration and the people will begin to drive the economy again…Mitt Romney is all about the people having opportunity.
Tina, The list of stupid things Obama and his administration have done is long. The latest and most outrageous being he hasnt met with his own jobs council since last January. I thought jobs was finally at the top of the list of problems to address, since ObamaCare was passed. Does he really believe he didnt need to meet with them since hes never in his life developed a business plan or ever worked for a private sector business that is the foundation of our economy and recovery? Sorry, rhetorical question. He either believes he knows everything already or he wrote them off because they werent saying what he wanted to hear.
The Stimulus money was a one time only shot in the arm. We all know, and now he even admits there were NO shovel ready jobs. Hard to believe how anyone in his position didnt think about who and how all of those public service jobs like teacher, police and firefighter salaries were going to continue after the Stimulus money ran out. It cost us billions to just kick the can down the road and we still dont have enough public sector jobs to fund those necessary private sector service jobs.
This administration pumped up GM sales by being their biggest customer in July and just like the Stimulus money what happens when the money ran out. They just kicked the can further down the road because we had to borrow the money from China to pay for those cars and trucks. Dumb moves just keep getting dumber.
China and the pirates of Beijing have circumvented the WTO tariff laws by increasing the value of the yuan by 30 percent against the dollar since 2005, and 6 percent in the past year. Past presidents and Obama have refused to address our problem with China and get them to revalue the yuan to its true value.
The Senate passed a bill in 2011, cracking down on Chinas currency manipulations, but it was Boehner who didnt support it and Obama who said he wouldnt sign it that declared it dead on arrival. Theyre afraid because China holds our purse strings and of a trade war.
China is depending on us for 6 percent of their economy while we depend on them for only 1 percent. So, who is control? We are.
Romney in an interview on 10/21/2011 with Dick Morris appears to grasp the need to stand up to China. They are threatening a trade war? Their exports to us are up here, Romeney said raising his right arm high in the air. And ours to them are down here, as he lowered his left hand. You want a trade war? Bring it on?
The WTO would get the case if the Senate bill passes, and the IMF has strong rules against currency manipulation. The WTO would be expected to enforce the IMF rules. As Morris says, Its a game of chicken to see who will blink.
If Obama is not removed, America as weve know it is gone. He will bring it down to even out the worlds economy by distributing our resources to other countries as hes done for the past four years.
I once thought we could save our country if we got control of both houses of Congress, but after Obamas resent statement of threatening to go around Congress to get what he wanted and with Holder as AJ this country is doomed if Romney doesn’t win too.
I even have major concerns for what he will do if he doesnt win. He could inflict major damage between Nov.7th and Romenys inauguration in January.
“public sector jobs to fund those necessary private sector service jobs”
Oops, reverse that.
I’ve learned a few things about China recently. They have spent a lot building their military (like the old USSR did) They have been unloading their US treasury notes and their economy is really slowing down. The reasons are intriguing: Economic weakness in the U.S. and Europe; A falloff in domestic demand; Inflation worries; Housing and banking are a mess; A corrupt political system. Read about it here:
http://theweek.com/article/index/227924/5-reasons-chinas-economy-is-slowing-down
http://www.dailyfinance.com/2012/02/17/what-happens-when-china-stops-buying-our-debt-/
Remember when students in China laughed at Geitner for telling them investment in US treasuries were safe? I wonder how loud they will laugh if Romney ties the dollar to gold?
He recently said we’ve been “played like a fiddle”
http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Politics/2011/1013/Why-China-trade-war-bill-is-tying-House-Republicans-in-knots/%28page%29/2
I also learned recently that most of US debt is held by the fed…this is from Nov 2011:
http://cnsnews.com/news/article/fed-now-largest-owner-us-gov-t-debt-surpassing-china
Romney’s plan to put us on a gold standard is an interesting proposition…read about it in Forbes:
http://www.forbes.com/sites/steveforbes/2012/09/05/gold-standard-is-coming/
I love Steve Forbes. He explains the complexities so that I can understand them.