Regarding todays article in the ER, Butte County Agencies Commended for Response to AB109. I don’t want anyone to misconstrue the positive comments made today in the ER to mean AB109, prison realignment or even Prop 147, sentence reductions, has been a good a thing for us. CSUC Professor Caudill and Sheriff Honea are only commending the local agencies for doing a good job in the wake of these disastrous new laws.
Recidivism is in large part predicated on law enforcements ability to catch offenders and return them to prison. Logic says, if law enforcement (including parole agents and probation officers) have not increased their numbers, chances are the recidivism rate will not be inordinately impacted as crime increases, there will be a lag time and that’s where we are right now.
What we are seeing across the State are examples that strongly hint crime is spiking. The types of crime and the timing of their increase is not-so-coincidentally tied directly to AB109 and Prop 47 going into effect.
Maybe Sheriff Honea is currently able to say his department’s crime stats remain on “trajectory,” but many other communities have not. If we talk to those law enforcement agencies (and I have talked to many of them) they tell a whole other story. Crime is on the rise and they see a direct connection to AB109 and Prop 47. In fact, I heard this stated from Oroville PD officers just last Tuesday. The officers on the frontline are the first to notice a change in crime patterns, so when they speak, it’s wise to listen.
The stats for 2015 are still be gathered, so they must be viewed as a lagging indicator. The true picture can’t be known for many months as data is gathered. However, until then we can make some logical deductions. Let’s keep on sampling cities in California that have their crime stats current. So far that sampling says a virtual crime wave is taking place. And so says, RealClear Politics – San Francisco reports: In the Wake of Proposition 47, California Sees a Crime Wave.
Sacramento Bee – “It’s been nine months since California voters approved a ballot measure reducing charges for some nonviolent drug and property crimes, and repeat offenders are getting savvy about the new limits of the law. These guys know that if they are running around with less than $950 of stolen property on them, they’re not going to jail,” he said. “They’re always trying to stay a step ahead of us.” Officer Wesley Herman, Citrus Heights.
CSUC Professor Caudill admits, AB109 has been blamed for a 115 percent increase in “failure to appear” charges in the county, which are charges brought on when defendants miss a court date they promised to appear on.” ER story. That’s a hint of worse to come. The message for you to know is, many of the new penalties are not acting as a deterrent. When that happens crime starts creeping up until its intolerable and here come the tough sentencing laws again.
Our crime has been going down for the last decade because of tough penalties, but that results in locking people up and that costs money. So, we have a choice, we either pay in terms of being a victim or we pay in terms of being a taxpayer and skip the personal risk part.
Sadly, we knew CA would not hold the line on tough sentencing, because the bleeding heart liberals have been gaining in strength and screwing up everything, from the state budget to taxes and now the criminal justice system. Liberals – they are so predictable and so wrong. They support the criminal and they could care less about the victims. They eagerly gloss over the reasons the crook is locked up. So now we are going backwards again, forced to re-learning the lessons of the past and the cycle repeats itself.
Steve Bordin, the county’s chief probation officer, said the challenges law enforcement agencies have faced because of AB109 have been “huge.” Key word: HUGE. Doesn’t take a rocket scientist to interpret that does it? Obviously this points to the fact that they suddenly have an even greater case load supervise. That’s never a good sign for crime in any community! Another red flag.
It’s great that “everybody in Butte County stepped up together and addressed it as a team,” but they wouldn’t be making this extra effort if AB109 and Prop 47 had not put more criminals on the street. They can’t keep up their extra efforts forever – then what?
The report by Professor Caudill shows an increase in charges for drug related offenses in the years after AB109 was implemented, but a decrease in charges for property offenses.
Researchers found drug possession, resisting or obstructing a peace officer and possession of drug paraphernalia among the top five violations for post-release community supervision offenders. Those were followed by being under the influence of drugs and failure to appear at a work release program. Drug offenses do generate other kinds of crime, even thought there may be some lag time in reporting the increases. The nexus is there, drugs really “do generate many other kinds of crimes,” this is a historical fact.
Honea concludes the ER article with this, “We’re not done, and clearly we’re going to have to continue to address both offenders and the underlying cause of criminality, and their impact on the community both in terms if theft-related crimes and potentially violent crimes as we go forward.” There’s a statement I can sure agree with!
It all so stupid and frankly, I am sick of the liberal morons (democrats) that ruin this state.