by Jack Lee
There was a long procession of notables appearing before Congress who swore under oath the price of gasoline was so high because of supply and demand, plain and simple. Even Jim Cramer on Mad Money assured us it was all supply and demand. I like Cramer although I don’t trust his advice; I’ve disagreed with his stock choices too many times and was right. However, in the midst of the pump price rip-off there were a few of us who stood our ground and said, “THIS IS A TOTAL RIPOFF. IT’S NOT ABOUT SUPPLY AND DEMAND!
Unfortunately, we were patted on the head and told to sit down.
Remember this often repeated line….there’s no speculation, there’s no big conspiracy no manipulating anything, speculation has little to do with the price, this is just the market we live in now with all the new oil customers in India and China.
The piling on by speculators drives up the price and you can argue well so what, thats the same for stocks too and this all works up to the point where supply and demand cross and then the price comes down. The point of change is what people are willing to pay. This works on corn flakes, but when you have a national security item, and certainly energy to move the needs of the nation is a national security issue, then it becomes more what is acceptable extortion. You could push pump prices up $20+ a gallon and there will still be people out here willing to pay it! Now whether its affordable or not is not the issue, they have to have it to survive… and that is the big difference between speculating in energy verses virtually all other commodities like corn, soy beans, etc.
And it’s only supply and demand if you stretch it to include wild speculation as a function of supply and demand. I would argue this was never intended to be part of the equasion. At its peak pump price for every one barrel of oil being sold for gasoline there were 27 barrels being traded back and forth by speculators trying to run up the price! This is not what we mean when we talk supply and demand, its not part of the India-China factor, we were actually getting taken to the cleaners by speculators (I said so early on) and we were being lied too by people who said, “That’s just the way it is from now on so get over it! Your oil is in short supply and we should expect $5 a gallon pump prices soon.” Then the bubble burst.
If you didn’t watch 60 Minutes last night, get this story on their pod cast or catch it on line. There was no supply and demand problem, it was an energy speculator problem. It was not Exxon, it was Merrill Lynch.
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